All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Franklin Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/28 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
386 |
418 |
330 |
440 |
377 |
441 |
869 |
473 |
536 |
522 |
567 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
359 |
330 |
440 |
377 |
361 |
386 |
410 |
372 |
451 |
475 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Franklin Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 21 |
Lily Myers |
11 |
18:54 |
19:06 |
19:22 |
19:16 |
18:49 |
19:03 |
|
18:49 |
18:49 |
18:52 |
19:08 |
18:46 |
| 212 |
Kate Barada |
10 |
20:25 |
20:32 |
20:31 |
20:57 |
20:50 |
20:25 |
|
21:00 |
19:58 |
20:38 |
20:55 |
|
| 246 |
Chloe Borders |
11 |
20:32 |
20:16 |
20:19 |
20:21 |
20:14 |
20:30 |
|
20:09 |
|
21:12 |
21:03 |
|
| 260 |
Abby Beathea |
12 |
20:37 |
|
19:55 |
21:07 |
20:35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 384 |
Clara Graham |
10 |
21:09 |
20:41 |
20:34 |
20:58 |
20:51 |
20:41 |
|
21:17 |
21:17 |
21:25 |
22:22 |
|
| 578 |
Elizabeth Merkley |
9 |
21:42 |
23:22 |
25:09 |
22:19 |
22:10 |
22:15 |
21:46 |
21:59 |
22:13 |
21:51 |
21:31 |
|
| 700 |
Morgan Cockerill |
10 |
22:03 |
22:49 |
22:08 |
22:31 |
22:19 |
22:12 |
21:27 |
21:39 |
22:00 |
|
|
|
| 751 |
Grace Stringer |
9 |
22:10 |
23:24 |
22:09 |
22:53 |
22:06 |
22:36 |
22:09 |
22:23 |
21:53 |
21:47 |
22:08 |
|
| 754 |
Isabella Vesperini |
12 |
22:11 |
21:35 |
|
22:03 |
22:14 |
21:57 |
22:24 |
21:49 |
22:22 |
22:09 |
22:40 |
|
| 963 |
Ella Cummings |
11 |
22:37 |
22:49 |
22:39 |
22:49 |
22:33 |
22:48 |
22:31 |
22:25 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,060 |
Nora Lopilato |
10 |
22:49 |
22:29 |
22:35 |
|
23:22 |
22:45 |
22:52 |
22:45 |
|
|
|
|
|
Marie Hogan |
12 |
23:55 |
23:54 |
23:46 |
24:12 |
24:01 |
24:09 |
|
23:35 |
|
|
|
|
|
Danielle Yang |
9 |
24:09 |
|
24:06 |
23:35 |
27:57 |
23:56 |
23:51 |
24:30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kate Baird |
9 |
25:07 |
25:34 |
22:55 |
|
|
25:26 |
25:20 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
6.3 |
205 |
|
|
0.1 |
2.1 |
14.2 |
40.1 |
39.7 |
3.4 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.0 |
75 |
0.0 |
2.8 |
97.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
47 |
2.2 |
97.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Myers |
100.0% |
22.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Kate Barada |
2.2% |
125.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.2% |
2.2% |
| Chloe Borders |
0.8% |
132.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.8% |
0.8% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Myers |
100% |
5.6 |
2.3 |
4.2 |
10.0 |
12.8 |
12.9 |
12.8 |
10.3 |
8.5 |
7.2 |
5.0 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Kate Barada |
100% |
43.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Chloe Borders |
100% |
47.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Clara Graham |
100% |
69.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Merkley |
100% |
97.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.6% |
| Grace Stringer |
100% |
118.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
86.5% |
| Isabella Vesperini |
100% |
118.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
85.8% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Myers |
100% |
1.0 |
76.3 |
15.8 |
4.7 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kate Barada |
100% |
14.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
5.9 |
8.4 |
10.1 |
12.0 |
12.6 |
12.7 |
12.0 |
11.2 |
6.4 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Chloe Borders |
100% |
16.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
7.0 |
9.5 |
10.8 |
13.2 |
14.8 |
15.6 |
13.5 |
4.1 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Clara Graham |
100% |
20.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
7.2 |
22.8 |
21.2 |
15.9 |
10.7 |
7.0 |
5.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Merkley |
100% |
27.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
3.3 |
5.7 |
7.8 |
9.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Grace Stringer |
100% |
34.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Isabella Vesperini |
100% |
34.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Myers |
1.0 |
89.3 |
7.8 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kate Barada |
8.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
7.9 |
15.5 |
23.4 |
22.7 |
18.4 |
9.5 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Chloe Borders |
8.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
3.5 |
8.8 |
16.5 |
22.7 |
24.5 |
20.9 |
2.2 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Clara Graham |
11.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
8.7 |
48.7 |
26.4 |
9.6 |
3.8 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elizabeth Merkley |
14.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.9 |
9.6 |
21.0 |
22.5 |
29.8 |
11.0 |
3.8 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Grace Stringer |
17.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
3.1 |
7.6 |
18.9 |
23.8 |
21.7 |
15.1 |
6.4 |
2.2 |
0.4 |
|
0.0 |
| Isabella Vesperini |
17.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.6 |
7.2 |
19.1 |
23.7 |
21.6 |
15.8 |
6.9 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
